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Per OUSHAWN TCFA text msg.... goes with the following graphic http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/atcf_web/images/al932006.gif msg follows: WTNT01 KNGU 191200Z SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 191200Z SEP 07// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 100 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 26.7N 82.0W TO 27.6N 85.8W WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 25 KNOTS. SYNOPTIC DATA AT 191200Z INDICATES THAT A SURFACE CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 26.8N 80.0W OR ABOUT 20 MILES NORTH-NORTHEAST OF WEST PALM BEACH, FL. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. NEARBY STATIONS HAVE REPORTED A 3MB DECREASE IN PRESSURE OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. AS THE CENTER OF CIRCULATION MOVES ACROSS THE FLORIDA PENINSULA, EXPECT THE PRESSURE TO MAINTAIN BEFORE BEGINING TO DEEPEN IN THE WARM WATERS OF THE GULF OF MEXICO. 2. THIS ALERT WILL BE REISSUED, UPGRADED TO WARNING OR CANCELLED BY 201200Z. |