craigm
(Storm Tracker)
Wed Sep 19 2007 09:07 PM
Re: Watching 93L close to the Florida east Coast.

This is fascinating to watch. The ULL is impressive but lacks any deep convection and is drawing lots of dry air in. You can see it shearing the healthy convection developing from 93L and pushing it NNW. The center of 93L looks to have moved inland just north of Cape Canaveral. The blob of convection almost points to the location of the LLC as you can see it exhausting heat. The ULL doesn't seem to have moved much in the last 7 hours.For 93L to do anything the ULL will need to move off to the west. If that happens then 93L has a chance to ramp up as it emerges off shore. I would say the panhandle to Louisiana is in for some nasty weather. I refuse to make any intensity 'guess'. Unfortunately for TX it looks like more rain as the ULL heads that way. The ULL translating to the surface possibly could happen, but without anticyclone aloft it won't intensify.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/loop-avn.html



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