craigm
(Storm Tracker)
Thu Sep 20 2007 10:30 AM
Re: Gulf of Mexico System

Here is an excerpt from the 8:00 AM TWO (which I'm sure most of you have read). They obviously still feel something will develop from 93L (low level) which supports model initialization.

THE FLORIDA PENINSULA AND THE EASTERN
GULF MEXICO. SURFACE OBSERVATIONS INDICATE THAT THIS WEAK LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM IS MOVING WESTWARD NEAR 10 MPH ACROSS CENTRAL
FLORIDA. SATELLITE IMAGES AND RADAR OBSERVATIONS INDICATE THAT
THE ASSOCIATED SHOWER ACTIVITY IS LIMITED AND DISORGANIZED AT
THIS TIME. HOWEVER...THE ENVIRONMENT IS GRADUALLY BECOMING
FAVORABLE FOR A SUBTROPICAL OR A TROPICAL CYCLONE TO FORM AS THE
SYSTEM MOVES WESTWARD INTO THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO LATER
TODAY. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF THE
SOUTHEASTERN U.S. DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. AN AIR FORCE
HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS SCHEDULED TO INVESTIGATE THE SYSTEM
LATER TODAY.

ATTENTION REMAINS FOCUSED ON A LARGE AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER
MOVING SLOWLY WESTWARD ACROSS CENTRAL FLORIDA. THIS ACTIVITY IS
ASSOCIATED WITH A WEAK SURFACE LOW PRES AREA