OUSHAWN
(Weather Guru)
Thu Sep 20 2007 11:05 AM
Re: Gulf of Mexico System

000
FXUS64 KLCH 201440
AFDLCH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
940 AM CDT THU SEP 20 2007

.UPDATE...A LIGHT AND DRY NORTHEAST FLOW CONTINUES OVER THE AREA
TODAY AS THE REGION UNDERGOES GRADUAL CHANGE FROM ANTICYCLONIC
FLOW ABOUT THE RIDGE OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS AND SOUTH TEXAS TO A
DRY CYCLONIC BUT SUBSIDENT FLOW WITHIN THE OUTER CIRCULATION OF
WHAT HAS BECOME A BROAD AND NOW TROPICAL LOW WEST OF TAMPA. A
CHECK OF H5 TEMPS REVEALS WHAT APPEARS TO BE A WARM CORE IN A
BETTER VERTICALLY STACKED SYSTEM.

WILL UPDATE THE BENIGN HWO IF AND WHEN TPC DECIDES THAT THIS
SYSTEM HAS CLOSED OFF INTO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION. AN UPDATED ZONE
PACKAGE WILL BE OUT SHORTLY TO REFLECT RUC GUIDANCE WHICH HAS STEADY
NORTHEAST WINDS AND MAX TEMPS CLOSE TO 90.



This is very interesting updated info...looks like things are about to get going...

Shawn