BLTizzle
(Verified CFHC User)
Mon Sep 24 2007 04:36 PM
Re: Tropical Development in Gulf Likely, Other Waves

The center of 94L seems to be moving under the convection a little better. Looking at the visible it seems the shear might have picked up a bit based on the way the cloud tops are a big more ragged than earlier. Then again, could be diurnal minimum. It'd be nice to have some stronger steering currents to get a better hold on where its gonna go. The shear's supposed to let up a bit and with no steering currents, there are some models that have it just meandering around.

Convection continues to fire on 97L, but its got some mean shear to deal with shortly. If it can survive that then it might have a chance.

96L looks healthy, as it has for most of its life. Looks like the low might be trying to squirm its way down to the surface at around 9.5N 34W. Right smack dab in the middle of all the convection. Nice blow up of thunderstorms in the region too, so I wouldn't be surprised. Don't think it'll be long before it gets classified if that is indeed happening.



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