lol... think they call it "2007, the season with no reason"... sure am curious why there have been more Cat. 5 these last few years, then in a long time? Anyway... 00Z pkg... some of the globals want to take that area of storms of SE Florida and up the east coast, before next trough swings by.... this looks more and more possible....one of thers models even build in a ridge to the north, which i would think old home town of Wilimington, NC. might be in for a weak system if its developes and moves up the SE coast.? Nothing has developed yet, but that could change. Stay tuned!

As i write, watchin Recon in the GOM, just off the MX coast... haven't seen anything significant out of the data on TD 13.. Vortex drop on first pass... 1008mb (no change)... said moderate convection 30nm from center.. highest flight level winds about 30mph... there flying around at 1,500ft

Also am noticing too that most long range globals lower the pressures in the western carb. and GOM.... with an atlantic ridge building at little farther north then we have seen this summer? Well see what happens...