Storm Hunter
(Veteran Storm Chaser)
Mon Oct 01 2007 01:05 PM
Re: Karen Dissipates, Watching Area East of Florida

Miami NWS...
..."STILL WATCHING A WEAK LOW OVER
THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS EXPECTED TO MOVE WEST SOUTHWEST THROUGH
TONIGHT AS A LOW OR AN INVERTED TROUGH. GFS40 HAS THIS LOW OVER
THE FLORIDA BAY BY 12Z TUESDAY AND THEN THE LOW LEVEL CONVERGENGE
SHUTS DOWN WITH WINDS VEERING TO THE SOUTHEAST AND SPEEDS
DRASTICALLY REDUCED."

11:30 TWD Monday

..."AN UPPER-LEVEL LOW...A DECAYING FRONTAL BOUNDARY...AND A WEAK
SURFACE LOW OVER THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS ARE PRODUCING SQUALLY
WEATHER OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTH FLORIDA...THE BAHAMAS...AND THE
ADJACENT WATERS OF THE WESTERN ATLANTIC. SOME SLOW DEVELOPMENT...
PERHAPS OF A SUBTROPICAL NATURE...IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT
COUPLE OF DAYS AS THIS SYSTEM MOVES SLOWLY WESTWARD OR
WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD. "


CMC is still going a little strong with this area....and most globals are still trying to develope something a in the SE GOM in the coming days from this area.... Something to watch... and wait and see.... the trough looks to be backing up some now... conditions are looking to becoming more favorable...