Been watching 90L all day... and this afternoon its looks like it finally getting its act together... the location would pose some concern with me if it were a normal October, but i think once again Upper level winds have saved it from getting up to TS/Hurricane... I expect if the current trend holds... this may become Noel sometime in the morning... with landfall along the southern part of LA... some time late tomorrow into the night as a TD or a weak TS... i think it may have time to transition over too a warm core at this point... time will tell. There is small storms blowing up near the center... although there still is signs of a decent amount of shear...