Steve H1
(Storm Tracker)
Mon Oct 29 2007 04:31 PM
Re: TD 16 Becomes Tropical Storm Noel South of Haiti/Dominican Republic

No disrespect to the NHC, but latest Vis sat images show a deepening Low-Mid level circulation that is improving during the last 2 hours and is heding NW. I am concerned about the timeline now, as it should be in the south-central Bahamas tomorrow if it maintains its current course. This may be a close call for the Florida peninsula, as the building ridge will have a tendency to move it more westward before turning it north as the High moves eastward Wednesday. If it gets into the Bahamas, staying north of Cuba over open waters, it will have nearly 48 hours to intensify before a shortwave moves into North Florida and increases shear...whew.


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