doug
(Weather Analyst)
Mon Oct 29 2007 05:10 PM
Re: TD 16 Becomes Tropical Storm Noel South of Haiti/Dominican Republic

The 5 p. m. discussion confirms what we've been observing and discussing, but puts the location a little further north and west of what was estimated here earlier. There is some uncertainty when the turn out to sea will occur, and forward speed is still fairly hefty 15mph.
No mention of shear as was mentioned in an earlier advisory discussion. No change in intensity forecasts which call for mid range TS strength.
EDS


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