| vineyardsaker |
| (Weather Guru) |
| Tue Oct 30 2007 01:44 PM |
|
Re: There is an "H" in the NHC's track
|
I want to ask a very basic "newbie/ignoramus" question here: from the NHC projections I assume that there is some event (cold/dry front?) which is supposed to do two things tomorrow night:
1) weaken Noel back to a TS
2) push it in a Northeastern direction
How confident are the knowledgeable forum members that this will actually occur? How much uncertainty, if any, is there over this? What are the chances of this *not* happening (and, thus a CAT1 heading for Florida)?