That is absolutely wild...went to that satellite site and zoomed in on the area....an almost prefectly circular feature moving out from under the large convective burst!! Is this because the shear/trof is in the mid/upper levels and is not affecting the LLC as much? AND is this what they mean by Noel becoming 'extra-tropical' if it loses its LLC at the surface? What would it take for the LLC to develop convection and a life of its own? I am still planning a big camping trip for Fri-Sun on the north side of Tampa and this may change ALL of that.