Easy...the NHC has not been wrong the WHOLE time on this. We are dealing with a tropical system which went over land and re-emerged just a few hours ago into the Atlantic. This land interaction almost always has an effect on a tropical system; it can split it apart, disrupt it, create a new LLC or fall apart altogether. There are other issues you have to look at also. Timing with fronts, troughs, etc. can always effect a storm and hasten up a forecast or slow it down and the NHC has no control whatsoever over that, so they cannot be blamed.

I know it may not seem like it right now, but in my years of following NHC they have been more right than wrong and time will tell what happens with Noel.