i believe we dont know for sure what we are seeing... hard to say for sure and don't think anyone knows

either way its very close to south florida and has moved further west than we thought

a lot could happen, norcross showed several scenarios

i think the watch was a prudent step, a little late but a good compromise

nice to think its a loop, could be weak steering currents and what i dont understand is if the front is as strong as the gfdl thought...why are the currents so weak?

i dont see a cyclonic loop.. i see a slow, steady drift west

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/loop-vis.html