Invest 95L in the east central Atlantic located at 27.2N 37.9W at 29/12Z and generally stationary. Winds listed at 25 knots (probably higher) and central pressure of 1008MB. System is attempting to transition to a hybrid subtropical cyclone from a cutoff upper level low that developed a surface low a couple of days ago (as first noted by HF).

Invest 95L

Forecast is for little movement for a day or two and then west southwest to southwest track and weakening as the system encounters increasing southwesterly shear ahead of a mostly upper level trough. SHIPS model anticipates TS/STS strength for a few days - probably already there, but transition toward a warm core or hybrid has only started in the upper levels and does not yet extend to the surface (and it may not make it, although SSTs started in the 22C-23C range a few days ago and low is now drifting close to 25C SSTs).

If it should get upgraded before Tuesday, the name would be Pablo. Probably the quietest busy season I've ever seen