Sat Dec 29 2007 02:38 PM
Re: 2550SM East of Central Florida

A couple of things worth mentioning -

NRL hasn't been updating very well for all systems since Friday, so it's not just 95L not being up there. In other words, 95L would most certainly be up there if it weren't for technical problems.

The SSD satellite links aren't updating very well, either, and it appears that most of the images of 95L haven't been updated since early this morning.

The most recently updated image I could find just now is actually the Meteosat from 1800Z, which shows a very well-developed subtropical storm out there, imho. 95 has deep convective banding arcs wrapping around 60% or so of the coc. In all actuality, if the trends of today continue, which are actually verifying some of the more aggressive model runs, even a TS Pablo looks like a distinct possibility before the end of the year.

Several have begun referring to 2007 as "2005 Lite," which seems so very appropriate in many ways. This is not discounting the devastating effects from systems such as Olga, Noel, Felix, Erin & Dean, but I merely agree with some other posts above which have referred to this season as having been very active, and yet relatively quiet (at least along the coastal U.S.). For a really interesting read, check out the history of TS Erin post-landfall.

Morning Visible Aqua - MODIS 1535Z 12/29/07

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