srquirrely
(Weather Watcher)
Thu May 29 2008 03:31 PM
Re: East Pacific Alma Likely to Become Hurricane


**i'm interested in the area of storms near 75w and 15n... in the caribbean.. got a mid level spin to it... south of jamica... is this the tropical wave/area of storms that the GFS is goin to drag to the NW and try to develope?

**Me too...

Tropical weather discussion
NWS TPC/National Hurricane Center Miami FL
205 PM EDT Thu may 29 2008


Tropical wave is along 71w S of 21n moving W 15-20 kt. Wave
signature is obscured by high clouds that cover much of the
Caribbean...however GFS model guidance suggests slight low-level
cyclonic turning which is aiding in producing scattered
showers/isolated thunderstorms across Puerto Rico and
Hispaniola.

...but I think ridging over GOM is going to totally block any movement in this direction.
Sure looks like an active start coming 6/1!