scottsvb
(Weather Master)
Sun Jul 06 2008 03:01 AM
Re: Tropical Storm Bertha Forms South of Cape Verde Islands

Dont buy into the tropical model runs of the BAMM,LBAR etc......Usually the GFDL,GFS ,ECMWF and Ukmet are the Global Models to follow..with somewhat the Nogaps. I dont usually give much credit to the CMC. Next 36-48hrs will be important on how far N it will be when the trough tries to interact with Bertha. I agree with the NHC on a stronger system would push her more WNW then NNW when she feels the trough. Or if she stays weaker..she will move more WNW.....until the next weakness moves out into the NW Atlantic. We will have a better idea on Monday.


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