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It is worth noting that the latest shear forecasts reverse the downward trend and again increase northwesterly shear across the entire Caribbean Sea. All other factors would favor a slow intensification, however the shear may continue to hold any significant development of 94L in check for a couple of more days. Unless the movement of the wave should slow down a bit (which is possible), that would put the tropical wave very near or over the Yucatan before the windshear relaxes. ED |