2AM EDT Update 21 July 2008
Dolly's center has been readjusted and it is now located over Cancun Mexico, which is a good shift (half a degree latitude) north from earlier center fixes. This means it will be over land only very briefly before moving into the Gulf of Mexico. Those in Texas and Northern Mexico need to watch Dolly very closely. 5AM forecast track may be adjusted.

Earlier Update

At 1545Z NHC upgraded Invest 94L directly to Tropical Storm Dolly in the western Caribbean Sea. Dolly is 230 miles southeast of Cozumel, Mexico moving to the northwest at 15 knots with sustained winds of 45mph and a central pressure of 1008MB. Tropical Storm Warnings are up for the east coast of the Yucatan peninsula.

Additional slow strengthening is anticipated before landfall Monday morning in the Cozumel area. The longer range NHC forecast places Dolly at the Texas/Mexican border near Brownsville on Thursday morning as a strong Tropical Storm. Those folks in the northern Mexico - Central and Southern Texas area need to monitor the progress of Dolly closely.

What do you think Dolly will do, the Dolly lounge is now open.

Tropical Storm Cristobal continues to drift slowly northeastward just off the North Carolina coast. Maximum sustained winds remain at 50mph and the central pressure is at 1007MB. Cristobal remained unchanged during the night, however some slight additional intensification is expected. Cristobal should remain just offshore as he heads toward Nova Scotia and gets absorbed by a trough moving off the east coast - in about four days.

Bertha is now extratropical as she races northeastward toward the southern shores of Iceland as a strong extratropical gale. The NHC issued its final bulletin on Bertha at 15Z.

A strong tropical wave will move off the coast of west Africa this evening and is worth monitoring for potential development next week.
ED

Event Related Links

Cozumel Weather
Cancun Radar Cancun Radar Loop (Flhurricane long term recording)

Long Term Radar Recording of TD#3 HCWX Level 3 Radar Recording/TD#3

Southeast Radar Composite (loop)
{{radarlink|jax|Jacksonville Radar}}
{{radarlink|mlb|Melbourne Radar}}
{{radarlink|clx|Charleston, SC Radar}}
{{radarlink|ltx|Wilmington, NC Radar}}
{{radarlink|mhx|Morehead City, NC Radar}}
{{radarlink|akq|Wakefield/ Norfolk/ VA Beach, VA Radar}}

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{{StormLinks|Dolly|04|4|2008|2|Dolly}}
{{StormLinks|Cristobal|03|3|2008|4|Cristobal}}
{{StormLinks|Bertha|02|2|2008|1|Bertha}}