This is a danger with the system not really as full developed as it should be. 94L has been "almost forming" for about a week now, and now that it seemingly has its still having some of that old behavior. I believe it will go pretty much on track for the next 24 hours or so, the suspense moment this evening is if something wild like forming closer to the Mid-Level Circulation, which more convection is firing at right now. Since recon really didn't get a good handle on the track, watching this closely in the evening will be interesting.

That said the entire cone needs to be watching this one. I dislike storms that haven't completely formed less than fully developed ones because it's a bit of a wildcard for track forecasting in certain situations, and this is one of them. Last year was the land of westward ho for these Caribbean storms, this year I'm not wagering on a repeat.

However, the ridge to the north should keep it from moving too far to the north, so I think the Hurricane Center's forecast is pretty reasonable.