danielwAdministrator
(Moderator)
Mon Aug 11 2008 04:45 PM
Re: Looking Around the Basin

Apparently the combination of the model runs and boredom has raised the eyebrows at TPC/ NHC.
RECON is tasked with an INVEST for tomorrow.

Latest SHIPS model has backed down a bit on the Max winds at 120 hours. Now down to 78kts... still a Hurricane.

93L now being run on SHIPS. Looks to be a lot higher in latitude than 92L.
Current 92L position is 11.6N/ 48.1W
93L forecast for nearly the same longitude is at 96hours. 15.6N/ 47.5W. That would make in roughly 4 degrees or 240nm north of 92L's location.

Early SHIPS on 93L look like a Fish Spinner!

NOUS42 KNHC 111530
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
1130 AM EDT MON 11 AUGUST 2008
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 12/1100Z TO 13/1100Z AUGUST 2008
TCPOD NUMBER.....08-072

I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. SUSPECT AREA (APPROCACHING THE LESSER ANTILLES)
FLIGHT ONE -- TEAL 70
A. 12/1800Z
B. AFXXX 01DDA INVEST
C. 12/1545Z
D. 14.0N 55.0W
E. 12/1730Z TO 12/2200Z
F. SFC TO 10,000 FT

FLIGHT TWO -- TEAL 71
A. 13/0600Z
B. AFXXX 02DDA CYCLONE
C. 13/0300Z
D. 15.0N 57.0W
E. 13/0500Z TO 13/0900Z
F. SFC TO 10,000 FT

2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY: BEGIN 6-HRLY FIXES AT
13/1800Z IF SYSTEM DEVELOPS AND IS A THREAT. NOAA PLANS
TO FLY TWO DOPPLER RADAR MISSIONS DEPARTING BARBADOS
AT 13/1800Z AND 14/0600Z.



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