So far on the 12z runs...,models are still showing at least a tropical storm by this weekend near 21N and 70W, some stronger but I would like to see the GFDL and HRW runs. Still we all need patience as right now its trying to form a ridge in the upper levels over it to support growth. The system will slowly get better organized as the dry air fades away and better the upper ridging over it strengthens over the next 12-24hrs. Until then, this will probably pulse with convection and we need persistance.
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Re: Looking Around the Basin