W\hen Katrina was poised to track across south florida the GFDL model was the only one that accurately predicted the south of west track the eventually ensued. its a pretty good model. also the gfdl model is run using info from the gfs model, which isnt bad either. the hwrf is a newer model with much less track record to go by. the bamm bams and bamd are all used more for systems that are more shallow even tho one means shallow, one medium and one deep, mostly i dont look at them at all. the ecmwf, which you probably wont see much is a reliable model as well.