12z GFS supports this also, plus if you just look at the water vapor imagry you can see a westerly flow (east to west from the ridge building in)from now 82W towards the GOM. It should be near 81W by this evening, 80W by later tonight, 79W by Thurs morning... so with that said, wherever Fay is exactly, her movement west should start then...looks like Thursday morning making 2nd landfall in Florida then or by mid-day.

A quick note here.... GFS though has Fay later this afternoon near Daytona I wont rule that out if she heads wnw this evening,... if she is still down by The Cape-Titusville, then she will move probably slightly further south across the state near Orlando-Pasco offshore. 20miles can make alot of difference for Tampa bay and also it being out in the GOM slightly longer down the road.