native
(Weather Guru)
Sat Aug 30 2008 05:43 PM
Re: Gustav a Major Hurricane, Hanna Moving West

That would be the Isle of Youth you're referring to.

What is keeping NHC on their path prediction(s) is the model guidance. If you click on the picture of the 5 day map of Gustav to the left here and scroll down to view Skeetobite's map, you'll clearly see what the NHC is seeing and hence the reasoning behind their estimates.

You'll note that all the models are in excellent agreement...until Gustav moves inland, it is only then that you'll see some deviation between them.