MikeCAdministrator
(Admin)
Wed Sep 03 2008 08:11 AM
Hanna Moving Northwest, Category 4 Hurricane Ike Forms Moving West

6:30AM EDT Update
Hurricane Watches are up for Hannah from North Edisto Beach in South Carolina to Surf City, North Carolina.

Tropical Storm Watches extend southward to Altamaha sound in Georiga.

11:30PM EDT Update
Hanna's north northwest track continues, track still takes it toward the Carolinas.

Ike has strengthened to a Category 4 hurricane. It will likely fluctuate in strength as it moves westward. Plenty of time to watch this one, and much too early to specify where/when Ike may go. If it were to approach the Southeast, it would be Around Wednesday of next week. The Bahamas will want to watch as early as Sunday/Monday, however.



6:30PM EDT Update

Hanna is now on the move, generally north or just west of north, and will start to move much quicker than it has been as it shoots to the north. Florida is out of the cone on this one, but the Carolinas will want to watch. It is also entirely possible Hanna doesn't make landfall after all.

Ike has become a Hurricane, and long range projections will keep it worth watching over the next few days, watching the model trends to see if it hooks Ike more up and out to sea or flattens it out to head westward.

Original Update
The busy tropics continue, Tropical Storm Hanna, still being sheared, is near Hati, and it looks like it may finally start to move toward the north and northwest late today. The system has weakened a bit more overnight because of the unrelenting shear, but it still is keeping together as a tropical storm.



The future track takes it maybe 100 miles east of the Central Florida coast, which may give some rain (the west may be relatively dry because of all the shear) to the coastal regions of Florida on Friday, and eventually move close to the Carolinas. Because of the angle of approach all in the cone will need to watch it. Of course, this also means it may never make landfall too, but that isn't as likely. Until a definitive motion is made, there is just no way to pinpoint it. Most models keep Hanna east of Florida.

Ike is still generally moving west, and toward the end of the forecast run things get a bit more complicated, the situation that will eventually cause Hanna to move north will not be there when Ike arrives, so it could go south of Florida (the most likely situation currently), into Florida, or Recurve, in other words, it needs to be watched. (Ike Lounge is here)

Josephine continues to show the signs of a fish spinner that will curve out to sea well before land areas.

Beyond Josephine a wave about to exit the African coastline also has a chance to become tropical later this week.


Color Sat of Gulf
RAMSDIS high speed visible Floater of Storms
Spaghetti Style model plots from Colorado State University

Forecast Discussions for (Show All Locations)
Charleston, SC
Wilmington, NC
Morehead City, NC

Emergency Management:
North Carolina Emergency Management
South Carolina Emergency Management

Southeast Radar Composite (loop)
{{radarlink|jax|Jacksonville Radar}}
{{radarlink|mlb|Melbourne Radar}}
{{radarlink|clx|Charleston, SC Radar}}
{{radarlink|ltx|Wilmington, NC Radar}}
{{radarlink|mhx|Morehead City, NC Radar}}
{{radarlink|akq|Wakefield/ Norfolk/ VA Beach, VA Radar}}
Google Plot of Hanna, Ike, and Josephine

{{StormCarib}}
Caribbean Islands Weather Reports

{{StormLinks|Hanna|08|8|2008|2|Hanna}}

{{StormLinks|Ike|09|9|2008|4|Ike}}

{{StormLinks|Josephine|10|10|2008|1|Josephine}}



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