They change the points after every advisory so you can only see a variation from the points after about 2 hours starts.

Something is off here. I trust the NHC. They have been good but remember one t hing.. look at the picture to the left of the board that flhurricane has up of Ike's path.

See the cone.

Notice that wnw movement IS in the cone... the top part of the cone would be wnw so if it does start a real movment and not a visible wobble than they can say it's still on track

because... its a cone not a railroad track

it doesn't have to jump the track if it goes a bit to the north..they allow that there

so.............................. wait for 8pm, keep watching and remember even though the models go west the cone allows for wnw movement

hope that made sense