Rich B
(British Meteorologist)
Wed Sep 10 2008 07:20 AM
Re: NHC 11PM is very conservative on Ike's future intensity

Wel Ike seems to be giving it a shot at organising better. The maximum surface winds reported by recon at 0600z were just 6 miles NW of the centre. However, peak flight level winds were reported some 83 miles northwest of the centre. Ike also has an elliptical eye some 20 miles long and 10 miles wide. Given the fact that the eye seen earlier in IR imagery has now gone, and microwave data suggesting the possibility of a second outer eye, perhaps Ike is undergoing some ERC. This would also explain the overall expansion of the storm to a degree too.


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