Raymond
(Weather Guru)
Thu Sep 11 2008 02:02 PM
Re: Ike size

I agree, Ike is only a cat. 1. and I don´t see much chances for change of the overall structure of the storm, even if there is quite some time for change and even if an ERC takes place soon! Therefore I think, that we don´t see a landfall of a Major Hurricane!
There seem to be some signs for a ERC, as mentioned in my post above, but there is no confirmation in the vortex data message. They only talk about an eye open to the NW with a diameter of 8 nm.