Tue Nov 11 2008 04:25 PM
looking at 94L and Paloma

Of all the things, 94l has started firing convection the last 6 hours or so, the cloud tops aren't terribly cold, and the convection is still sheared from upper level winds out of the west. However the convection seems to have creeped closer to the LLC. and the storm continues to drift SSW (looks to be around 29.5N and 37.5W)

Looking at the wider view, it looks like there's some even stronger Shear heading 94ls way, barring it slipping into a pocket. I'd give it a very low chance of developing, however it's not zero (probably about 10 percent likely). though it looks like the storms near the LLC aren't holding together, so the long odds seem even longer.

Should convection actually continue throughout the night. then we'll have a sense if the storm can pull itself together out in the Far Atlantic.

Paloma is just a low level swirl off the southern shore of Cuba. Just a few showers around it. it'll have a really tough time regenerating, (and with all the dry area in the area, it's more accurate to say it has pretty much no chance at all).

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