Thunderbird12
(Meteorologist)
Thu Sep 10 2009 02:51 PM
Re: Western GOM and other areas

It will be interesting to see what happens over the NW Gulf and areas inland this weekend. Given proximity to land, any sort of major tropical development seems unlikely, but a short fuse system could develop if any given thunderstorm complex goes upscale. Some sort of hybrid or warm core low pressure could even spin up over land close to the coast, given the large amount of convection that is forecast to occur in a very tropical airmass. In either case, the main impact should be heavy rain. If a well organized surface low develops (tropical or otherwise), there will be a threat of excessive flooding rain in some areas and an elevated risk of tornadoes on the eastern flank of the system.


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