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16/0530Z - Looking at satellite imagery and wind shear analysis, I think Fred is beginning to inch closer towards regaining depression status. There were some cold tops earlier this evening, but since have warmed and it is difficult to locate LLC on IR satellite. hallow models continue general west-northwest track and wind shear analysis is generally 10 to 15 knots ahead of its course. There are a couple of wrinkles...upper low south of Hispanola and frontal system to Fred's northwest. Think Fred's dead? |