| Hugh |
| (Senior Storm Chaser) |
| Sun Jun 13 2010 01:29 PM |
Re: Invest 92L Appears To Be Organizing Better
|
Quote:
Rather impressive looking for this early and so far East. If it does develop into a classified tropical storm, it may be a harbinger of things to come this season - not good. So far, it is already August hot here on the Gulf coast of Florida.
There are some Augusts that aren't THIS hot, in fact.
I just pulled up the floaters, and now the spin is clearly evident on both the visible and AVN loop. It's getting close to "code red" on the NHC's probability chart (>50%), I'd guess (45% seems about right, in other words).
The BAM models do not paint a pretty picture at all for the long-term outlook... putting it straight through the Caribbean, at least straight through the Lesser Antilles. Someone check the calendar - it IS June 13th, right?
Update: The 2pm TWO does indeed put the system on the brink of "code red"... with a 50% probability of development during the next 48 hours.