danielwAdministrator
(Moderator)
Thu Sep 02 2010 12:05 AM
Re: Hurricane Watches up For NC/VA, Warnings Later Today

I looked at the latest SHIPS model and it's only showing 2 kts difference between over water and over land for the next 36 hours. Too much vorticity/ helicity keeping Earl going I guess.

Latest data is showing a 50 mile near miss at Hatteras. That's 50 miles minus the diameter of the eye using the current forecast track.
That's just too close for any comfort.