typhoon_tip
(Meteorologist)
Sat Sep 11 2010 12:09 PM
Re: Igor Stornger, And Two waves (92L and 93L)


Shortly after Igor's improved display during the overnight he began ingesting SAL contaminant as can be seen here:

http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real-time/wavetrak/winds/m8split.html

This will likely impeded much further intensification in the shorter terms, but should not prove to end Igor by any means. This is not a major hindrance looking out in time as we can see this is a single arcing band that has gotten caught up in Igor's large circulation field. Every system (Danielle, Earl...etc) thus far this season demonstrated a weakening trend when passing Igor's current latitude/longitude, and in each case SAL material was present and could be seen using this product to be ingesting into the systems.

92L:
...Has a much improve satellite performance this morning and NHC feels pretty strongly that a depression will be forming here imminently.

Guidance is spread ... ranging from not seeing much of anything even there, to moving toward the PR archipelago, to a Caribbean Cruiser eventually terrorizing the western ends of the region. It is not likely the models will be in much consensus until a real entity shows up better in the initializations.