Tropical depression 15 is likely to be Matthew later today or tonight. Currently track is towards the northern coast of Nicaragua and then up the coast of Belize and Yucatan. Iam sure there will be plenty of shifts with this storm with respects to the track as models are not in good agreement on this one. Looks like its going to slow down in about 24 hours and remain moving slow through 120 hrs. Almost no shear and extremely warm waters in the Caribbean. This needs to be watched closely. GFS has been the most consistent so far to some extent.