I've been pouring over the 12Z package today and two words, "low confidence" coming out of HPC in regards to how the models are handling this system.. All the ensembles are in different camps. For the moment all models are handling Matthew, not the future evolution of Nicole. There continues to be both speed and position issues that will continue to exist for the foreseeable future. For now no one should concern themselves on where Matthew/Nicole will be heading; whether FL or the northern GOM coast. Additionally, it remains unclear what type of system we'll be talking about...tropical..subtropical...extra-tropical as it begins to interact with the deep trough over the east.. Whatever evolves of Matthew and/or Nicole it is likely we won't have definitive answers until mid week, next week.