MikeC
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| (Admin) |
| Tue Sep 28 2010 06:49 PM |
Re: Tropical Depression 16 Forms in Caribbean Watches/Warnings Issued
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Quote:
But as the models move the center further west, won't that same convection move further west, as the 12Z GFS is showing?
Yes, but don't take this mornings center point (11AM advisory) and this afternoons (2PM) point, along with likely 5PM to indicate direction of movement. These were due mainly to center relocations. Latest being 21.2N, 82.9W from Recon. and the 5PM will.
It may mean some changes in watches/warnings, but still the system is expected to remain at Tropical Storm strength and has to cross over the isle of Youth and Cuba before hand.