weathernet
(Storm Tracker)
Wed Oct 20 2010 01:54 AM
Re: Modest Chance for Development of West Caribbean Wave

Well, per the 2:00am TWO, some consolidation is starting to take shape just to the NE of the stationary center. Not really how I see it however. Whether re-forming or moving N.E. at 5-10mph, a tighter center seems to have slid a little to the north and east a little bit better positioned under the upper high there. There does seem to be some light to moderate shear impinging on the western quadrant, however I do not believe this will hinder development. In fact, any net shear will be negated if in fact the storm moves in concert with the BAMD model.