cieldumort
(Moderator)
Fri Oct 29 2010 08:42 PM
Re: 91 L

Quote:

Err, what I said about the winds not really ramping up quickly... I could be mistaken, in a bad way.

Peak Surface winds of 62KTs and 30 second average of 59.8KTs ??? Maybe a squall or something? Maybe, but there's a lot of 45 - 50KT winds in the next set of High Density Readings




Believe that the 62 knot (71.3 MPH) SFMR estimate, being a 10-second average, really does not perfectly equate with a 30-second average of 68.8MPH, even though it can. But streching this out to a 1-min average, being a touch conservative perhaps, and calling it 55-60MPH instead, does looks entirely believable based on both satellite and microwave imagery, however.

Tomas is actually a pretty well-defined tropical storm, and I suspect its large size overshadows its other many qualities. Most everyone generally expects newly-formed, large tropical cyclones to be slow to the party, but Tomas has internal and external kickers galore going for it right now -- and these may continue to work in the tropical cyclone's favor for several days to come, more or less.



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