(Weather Analyst)

Mon Oct 17 2011 11:27 AM

Re: Northwest Caribbean Likely to Develop This Week.

The visible of 95L shows what is clearly a low level circulation to the west of the convection, located just north of the Yucatan coast and moving westward parallel to the coast. There is no sign of a circulation in the storm cluster to the NE of this vortex. The picture shows shear over the system from the SW. It is my opinion that development/classification is not going to happen. That will not prevent the heavier weather in the SE GOM from moving across Florida as predicted.

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