7:30 AM EDT 23 July 2012
The disturbance mentioned yesterday has drifted northwest over the peninsula, and most of the rain associated with it is along the east coast of Florida this morning, and because of the northwesterly motion development chances have fallen off a cliff and likely will never develop. The dry air to the north has made sure of that.

Original Update
After Debbie, the Atlantic has remained mostly quiet, but this morning there is an area off Southeast Florida that currently has a 10% chance for development.

Likely it will just enhance rainfall over the southeast, parts of Central Florida, and the Bahamas.

If the disturbance makes it across the state and into the Gulf, it could gradually gain strength there, and is worth watching through this week.

It is not an official invest, so no direct model runs have been made on it, though it may get tagged later today.

Regardless, this system has a chance to bring gusty winds and rainfall to the northwestern Bahamas, central and south Florida over the next few days.

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