I believe I may now understand what is happening. The Low Level Center and swirl is now near 25N/ 90W. And is now completely out from under the mid and upper levels. It's just to the SE of the 25/90 lat/ long lines.

The mid and upper levels are trying to regenerate thunderstorms and the SE Quad is doing a fair job of that.

The UKMET and Euro Models want to take Karen west. They must be reading the LLCC and lower levels.
While the GFS wants to take Karen to the NE towards Appalachcola AQQ and the Big Bend. I believe this is the mid and upper level side of the storm.

Really messed up system I know, but not entirely impossible.