(Verified CFHC User)
Thu Sep 07 2017 05:58 AM
Re: 185 MPH Severe Hurricane Irma Growing Closer and Larger

The NHS track has been virtually unchanged since the 8 p.m. advisory Wednesday night. I do notice, however, that they've predicted that her intensity will reduce (from a Cat3 to a Cat1 upon Georgia landfall). Doesn't this seem contraindicated by the fact that her eye is going to have good access to open water during most of her scrape up the Florida coastline? I also notice that some of the other models (UKM and NVGM, specifically) have swung her track further West, with her eye passing over Key West and making landfall at Naples. Last night the majority of the models were tracking almost identically to NHS. Is there a possibility that she'll travel further West? Predictors seemed so much more sure of her path last night.

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