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Tropical Cyclone Formation Alert issued: Wtnt21 Kngu 242330 Subj/Tropical Cyclone Formation Alert// Rmks/ 1. Formation of a Significant Tropical Cyclone Is Possible Within 160 Nm Either Side of a Line From 17.7n 88.2w to 25.1n 87.0w Within the Next 24 Hours. Available Data Does Not Justify Issuance Of Numbered Tropical Cyclone Warnings at This Time. Winds in The Area Are Estimated to Be 30 Knots. Metsat Imagery at 242000z Indicates That a Circulation Center Is Located Near 19.3n 88.2w. The System Is Drifting North-northeastward at 02 Knots. 2. Remarks: A Low Pressure System Located Inland Over the Eastern Portion of the Yucatan Peninsula Is Gradually Becoming Better Defined. The System Is Producing a Disorganized Area of Showers And Thunderstorms Over the Northwestern Caribbean and Yucatan Channel With Winds of 30 Kts. Environmental Conditions Are Expected To Become More Favorable for Developement Friday and Saturday and A Subtropical or Tropical Cyclone Is Likely to Form While the Low Moves Into the Southern Gulf of Mexico. 3. This Alert Will Be Reissued, Upgraded to Warning or Cancelled By 252330z.// |