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It looks on satellite the center continues to move east southeast There also seems like another circulation further northeast nearer to the convection. Will have to watch if this trend continues and if a new center forms further northeast..
Agree there is definitely an exposed LLC still heading to the east and the whole mess is tilted by shear to the NE.There are multiple vortices at different levels and the models must be picking up on something further to the north. We are seeing model runs that are 6 to 12 hours old with data input earlier than that. Will have to see if initialization starts to move east. Either way looks like just a rain event on already saturated ground for Florida and possibly more of an impact in the panhandle. BTW didn't last year start off like this?
http://rammb-slider.cira.colostate.edu/?...;s=rammb-slider
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