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12Z GFS showing a landfall near ft walton beach tomorrow around noon at 985mb (Strong TS/borderline hurricane) This system seems to be out of the strong easterly shear now and is beginning to wrap around to the west, pulling dry air in the south side, which hopefully will be enough to keep it away from hurricane strength. Model track is a bit iffy, so prefer the NHC track. There's a big tail of rain east of Florida that will probably get pulled into the peninsula later today. Smaller, but stronger bands are coming up along the west coast (one near Naples right now) and another big band over N. Florida. |