An active month of July continues, with recon now finding Chris a hurricane. Fortunately, nearly all reliable guidance takes Hurricane Chris north-northeast to northeast away from the U.S., but the cyclone could continue to produce some serious rip current risks along the eastern seaboard.
Another Low to the northeast of Chris is weak, and significant development is not expected, although it could have some influence on the path Chris takes.
Southeast of Chris, the low pressure remains of former Hurricane Beryl continue struggling, but a new mid-level center may be trying to form along the northern portion of this trough. Interests in the region should continue to monitor this disturbance closely, and stay tuned to the National Hurricane Center for updates. NHC odds of 20% within 48 hours/50% within 5 days, and these odds could be going up.
Finally, way, way, way out in the Tropical Atlantic, an active portion of the ITCZ is worth keeping an eye on, as despite Sea Surface Temps running well below average in the Tropical Atlantic so far this seasaon, African Easterly Waves have been busier and friskier than usual.
For Chris model talk and more check out the Hurricane Chris Lounge
For more Beryl model talk, go beyond the cone with us in the Beryl Lounge.