danielwAdministrator
(Moderator)
Mon Jul 24 2006 10:24 PM
Worst for last

I apologize for the length of the two above posts. Prediction Centers aren't usually known for short forecasts. Unless the sky is clear.

Last night I saw mention of a possible tropical wave moving into the Cay Sal Bank area of the Bahamas nearing this week's end. The following reinforces that forecast.

EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD
207 PM EDT MON JUL 24 2006

VALID 12Z THU JUL 27 2006 - 12Z MON JUL 31 2006

...THE CANADIAN MODEL IS AN OUTLIER WITH THE TROPICAL SYSTEM THAT IT BRINGS INTO THE WESTERN ATLANTIC. OTHER MODELS STILL SEEM TO SHOW A PATTERN THAT ALLOWS FOR YESTERDAYS HPC/TPC COORDINATED FORECAST OF A TROPICAL WAVE TRACKING WESTWARD INTO THE SOUTHERN GULF OF MEXICO... AS DEPICTED IN THE UPDATED PRELIMINARY FORECAST FOR TODAY.

http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/pmdepd.html



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